Futures vs FV: SP -4.70; DJ -27.52, NASD -1.53
Stocks opening soft after a rally takes SP500 to the 200 day MA. The negative websites proclaim the 'global rally fizzles,' something they say every time the futures open lower. In any event, this is another soft open as seen before in this rally, opens that were bought.
This time we have to see how a soft open is bid and then if the bids hold. A very solid run in the third leg is getting a bit long in the tooth. Some great stocks in great position, but we have to see if the bids sustain.
Trade: Mnuchin says the talks have been 'very productive' as he gets ready to head to China for more talks.
Earnings beats: HUM; DIS; SNAP; PLT; DATA; SAVE (TL); SWKS
Misses: LLY (BL); CAPRI (TL); TTWO (TL, BL); EA (TL)
Europe: Germany factory orders drop the most since 2012. Europe is struggling a bit.
Mortgage apps: -2.5% vs -3.0% prior week
Bonds: 2.682% vs 2.702%. 10 year is bought again, coming off that test of the higher high in January.
EUR/USD: 1.1386 vs 1.1396
USD/JPY: 109.78 vs 109.99
Oil: 53.48, -0.19
Gold: 1317.50, -1.70
Futures gapped lower and have steadily recovered toward the open, approaching the flat line. Once again the bids return on the downside. Nothing is standing in the way of the rally right now -- other than its own success and days to the upside.
Again, we like some new plays in other areas such as food (DRI, SBUX), ISRG, so we will see if the bids come in and the moves are sold again. Buying at this point is tough for software and the like, but others as noted are just setting up well to make moves.
Jon Johnson, Chief Market Strategist
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